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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$971K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
62 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
18%
5 more
$1.13M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$1.80M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$185
60 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
82%
20-40
15%
3 more
$190K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
52 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$116
46 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
98%
100-124
1%
3 more
$48K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
42 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
49%
October
14%
5 more
$58K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
42 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
<220
57%
220-229
25%
4 more
$3.0K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
41 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$47K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$74
49 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
34-36
27%
31-33
22%
5 more
$3.0K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$94
39 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
97%
285M
68%
4 more
$5.7K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
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