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Prediction markets

15 active markets · category “Science”

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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

0
1%YesNo
1
73%YesNo
$27KVol. Jul 19science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest
1st hottest85%
3rd hottest
3rd hottest9%2 more
$75KVol. Jul 31science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 14 - July 19?

≤6
1%YesNo
7
1%YesNo
$45KVol. Jul 19science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC84%
1.15–1.19ºC7%4 more
$34KVol. Aug 1science
Precipitation in NYC in July?

Precipitation in NYC in July?

4-5"
4-5"38%
3-4"
3-4"32%4 more
$18KVol. Jul 31science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Hong Wang
Hong Wang98%
John Pardon
John Pardon96%9 more
$665KVol. Jul 30science
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?

450-475mm
450-475mm39%
425-450mm
425-450mm27%8 more
$13KVol. Jul 31science
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3149%
August 30
August 3046%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
Precipitation in London in July?

Precipitation in London in July?

<30mm
<30mm85%
40-50mm
40-50mm6%5 more
$5.4KVol. Jul 31science
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?

1800+95%
2000+94%4 more
$20KVol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

9%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
Precipitation in Seoul in July?

Precipitation in Seoul in July?

100mm+99%
90-100mm1%6 more
$12KVol. Jul 31science