Polypred
How it works
Log In
Sign Up
Prediction markets
59 active markets
· category “Trump”
How it works
How to trade
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
1%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
1%
Yes
No
≤49
1%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
97%
chance
Yes
No
$857K
Vol.
Jul 20
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
Trump out as President by July 31?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$1.39M
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$61K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
50 trading now
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
40%
chance
Yes
No
$123K
Vol.
Jul 20
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
47 trading now
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Thing 10+ times
99%
President 20+ times
99%
21 more
$21K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
40 trading now
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$516K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?
September 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$20K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
How many World Cup matches will Trump attend?
0
3%
Yes
No
1
97%
Yes
No
$175K
Vol.
Jul 20
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
July 12
99%
July 11
99%
29 more
$321K
Vol.
Jul 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Markets
Search
Activity
More
